Asian Development Outlook 2011 Update: Preparing for by Haruhiko Kuroda

By Haruhiko Kuroda

The Asian improvement Outlook 2011 replace expects constructing Asia to maintain its powerful progress over the following 2 years, regardless of the tepid outlook for the USA, the eurozone, and Japan. The zone might be buttressed by way of fit household call for and buoyant intraregional exchange. coping with inflation needs to be a key concentration for coverage makers, to permit for inclusive progress. Such progress comprises the aged, who're all too frequently left in the back of as Asia's conventional family members networks weaken. because the aged will shape an ever-larger proportion of the region's inhabitants over the following few a long time, states must be certain their fiscal security---and meet the broader financial implications for society.

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For example, if commodity prices rise because of foreign supply disruptions, Asian economies experience additional inflation pressures because of a fall in the economies’ production capacities. 3 Shares of worldwide oil consumption, selected the region, the resulting increase in commodity prices will not countries and Emerging Asia be reinforced by tighter conditions on production capacity. People's Rep. 3), other 27 industrial commodities, and many food categories, explanations of price increases for these goods need to look beyond supply 18 shocks but at the strong regional demand growth.

Likewise, the need for adjusting fiscal imbalances is clear for some of the advanced economies. Rebalancing Asia’s growth could enable the region to become a more important source of global demand, but would require a series of domestic structural reforms in Asia and regional policy coordination. Economies with persistent imbalances—both developing and industrial— need to carry out comprehensive policy packages and to continue marketoriented reforms. Such reforms are not risk free, however, and might create or exacerbate policy-making trade-offs such as temporarily reduced exports and lower growth.

473–491. Reinhart, C. and V. Reinhart, 2009, Capital flow bonanzas: An encompassing view of the past and present, in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2008, Eds. J. Frankel and C. Pissarides, pp. 9-62, University of Chicago Press. Stefanski, R. 2011. Structural Transformation and the Oil Price. OxCarre Working Papers 48. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford. http://www. uk/images/stories/papers/ResearchPapers/oxcarrerp201048.

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